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What Just Happened is a short-format, informal podcast brought to you by the intelligence analysts at Sibylline LTD, a strategic risk firm based in London. Hosted by Ignacio Ayala, this podcast features brief conversations between the host and his fellow analysts, updating you on major geopolitical events as soon as they happen.
Episodes

Wednesday Sep 17, 2025
What Just Happened? Political Violence in The US
Wednesday Sep 17, 2025
Wednesday Sep 17, 2025
In this episode, Ignacio is joined by Lewis Galvin, the Lead Analyst for the Americas at Sibylline, to discuss the recent political violence in the United States and the assassination of conservative influencer Charlie Kirk. They explore the immediate aftermath and the broader implications of this event, examining the responses from high-profile political figures and the role of social media in amplifying political polarisation. Lewis provides insights into the growing trend of politically motivated violence across the spectrum and the potential long-term effects on the political landscape.
If you enjoyed this episode, let us know by liking, subscribing, or leaving a review! You can also contact us with any questions or feedback at info@sibylline.co.uk.
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For more information, visit our website: www.sibylline.co.uk
#PoliticalViolence #USPolitics

Thursday Sep 11, 2025
What Just Happened? Israel Strikes Doha
Thursday Sep 11, 2025
Thursday Sep 11, 2025
In this episode, Ignacio is joined by Omar Khadr, our analyst for the Middle East, North Africa, and Turkey, to discuss the recent Israeli airstrike on Hamas headquarters in Doha. They delve into the implications of this unprecedented move, examining the potential regional repercussions and the geopolitical dynamics at play. Omar provides insights into the immediate impact of the strike on ceasefire talks and the role of mediators, as well as the long-term effects on prospective Saudi-Israeli normalisation.
If you enjoyed this episode, let us know by liking, subscribing, or leaving a review! You can also contact us with any questions or feedback at info@sibylline.co.uk.
Follow us on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/sibyllineltd/?hl=en
Follow us on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/sibylline-ltd/
Follow us on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@sibyllineTV
For more information, visit our website: www.sibylline.co.uk
#WhatJustHappened #Geopolitics

Friday Aug 29, 2025
What Just Happened: France's New Political Crisis
Friday Aug 29, 2025
Friday Aug 29, 2025
In this episode, Ignacio is joined by Karan Vassil, Intelligence Analyst for Europe and Eurasia, to discuss the ongoing political crisis in France. They examine the recent announcement by Prime Minister Bayrou, who has called for a vote of confidence on 8 September to secure support for his 2026 budget. The discussion explores the implications of this move and its potential impact on France’s governance. Karan provides insights into the geopolitical context and the domestic response to France’s budgetary challenges.
If you enjoyed this episode, let us know by liking, subscribing, or leaving a review! You can also contact us with any questions or feedback at info@sibylline.co.uk.
Follow us on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/sibyllineltd/?hl=en
Follow us on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/sibylline-ltd/
Follow us on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@sibyllineTV
For more information, visit our website: www.sibylline.co.uk
#WhatJustHappened #Geopolitics

Wednesday Aug 13, 2025
What Just Happened? Israel's New Plans for Gaza
Wednesday Aug 13, 2025
Wednesday Aug 13, 2025
In this episode, Ignacio is joined by Megan Sutcliffe, Principal Analyst for the Middle East and Africa, to discuss Israel's new push to occupy the entirety of Gaza. They delve into the recent announcements by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, the implications of these plans, and the potential humanitarian impact on Gaza's densely populated areas. Megan provides insights into the geopolitical dynamics and the international response to Israel's operations.
If you enjoyed this episode, let us know by liking, subscribing, or leaving a review! You can also contact us with any questions or feedback at info@sibylline.co.uk.
Follow us on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/sibyllineltd/?hl=en
Follow us on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/sibylline-ltd/
Follow us on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@sibyllineTV
For more information, visit our website: www.sibylline.co.uk
#WhatJustHappened #Geopolitics

Wednesday Jul 23, 2025
What Just Happened? Japan's Fragmenting Politics
Wednesday Jul 23, 2025
Wednesday Jul 23, 2025
In this episode, Ignacio delves into the recent shifts in Japanese politics following the upper house election. Our Principal Analyst for the Asia Pacific region, Jonah Kaplan, joins Ignacio to explain the fragmentation of political power as the ruling Liberal Democratic Party loses its majority, and smaller parties rise with distinct policy proposals. Together they explore the implications of this power shift, the challenges faced by Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba and the potential impact on Japan's fiscal and defense policies. Tune in to understand the evolving political landscape and what it means for Japan's future.
If you enjoyed this episode, let us know by liking, subscribing, or leaving a review! You can also contact us with any questions or feedback at info@sibylline.co.uk
Follow us on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/sibyllineltd/?hl=en
Follow us on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/sibylline-ltd/
Follow us on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@sibyllineTV
For more information, visit our website: www.sibylline.co.uk
#WhatJustHappened #Geopolitics #Japan #Trump

Wednesday Jul 16, 2025
What Just Happened? Trump Shifts Ukraine Strategy
Wednesday Jul 16, 2025
Wednesday Jul 16, 2025
In this episode, Ignacio is joined by Eurasia Intelligence Analyst Layla Guest to discuss the recent developments between Ukraine, the US and Russia. They delve into President Donald Trump's notable policy shift aimed at pressuring Russia to end the war in Ukraine, the new military assistance plans for Ukraine, the potential impact of severe tariffs on Russia and the broader implications for international relations. Layla also provides insights into the challenges of negotiations and the possible outcomes in the coming months.
If you enjoyed this episode, let us know by liking, subscribing, or leaving a review! You can also contact us with any questions or feedback at info@sibylline.co.uk
Follow us on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/sibyllineltd/?hl=en
Follow us on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/sibylline-ltd/
Follow us on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@sibyllineTV
For more information, visit our website: www.sibylline.co.uk
#WhatJustHappened #Geopolitics #Ukraine #USPolicy #Trump

Wednesday Jul 09, 2025
What Just Happened? Rising Drone Warfare in Haiti
Wednesday Jul 09, 2025
Wednesday Jul 09, 2025
In this episode, Alexander Marciniak from the Latin America desk joins Ignacio to explore the complex dynamics of drone warfare in Haiti. They discuss the increasing use of drones by Haitian security forces, the impact on civilian safety and the broader implications for the region. The conversation also covers the formation of the 'Viv Ansanm' gang coalition and the adoption of drone warfare across Latin America, including Mexico and Colombia.
If you enjoyed this episode, let us know by liking, subscribing, or leaving a review! You can also contact us with any questions or feedback at info@sibylline.co.uk
Follow us on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/sibyllineltd/?hl=en
Follow us on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/sibylline-ltd/
Follow us on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@sibyllineTV
For more information, visit our website: www.sibylline.co.uk
#WhatJustHappened #Geopolitics #Haiti #DroneWarfare

Wednesday Jul 02, 2025
What Just Happened? Iran's Nuclear Capabilities
Wednesday Jul 02, 2025
Wednesday Jul 02, 2025
In this episode, Ignacio is joined by Megan Sutcliffe from the Middle East and Africa desk to understand the recent strikes on Iran's nuclear facilities and discuss the damage inflicted, the current state of Iran's nuclear capabilities and the implications for Iran's intentions regarding nuclear weapon development. Megan provides insights into the complexities of nuclear weapon development, the stages involved and the geopolitical dynamics influencing Iran's nuclear ambitions.
If you enjoyed this episode, let us know by liking, subscribing or leaving a review! You can also contact us with any questions or feedback at info@sibylline.co.uk
Follow us on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/sibyllineltd/?hl=en
Follow us on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/sibylline-ltd/
Follow us on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@sibyllineTV
For more information, visit our website: www.sibylline.co.uk
#WhatJustHappened #Geopolitics
