Sibylline: What Just Happened?

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What Just Happened is a short-format, informal podcast brought to you by the intelligence analysts at Sibylline LTD, a strategic risk firm based in London. Hosted by Ignacio Ayala, this podcast features brief conversations between the host and his fellow analysts, updating you on major geopolitical events as soon as they happen.

Episodes

7 days ago

What Just Happened? Iran's Nuclear Capabilities

7 days ago

In this episode, Ignacio is joined by Megan Sutcliffe from the Middle East and Africa desk to understand the recent strikes on Iran's nuclear facilities and discuss the damage inflicted, the current state of Iran's nuclear capabilities and the implications for Iran's intentions regarding nuclear weapon development. Megan provides insights into the complexities of nuclear weapon development, the stages involved and the geopolitical dynamics influencing Iran's nuclear ambitions.

If you enjoyed this episode, let us know by liking, subscribing or leaving a review! You can also contact us with any questions or feedback at info@sibylline.co.uk

For more information, visit our website: www.sibylline.co.uk

#WhatJustHappened #Geopolitics

Wednesday Jun 25, 2025

What Just Happened? Colombia's Political Roller Coaster

Wednesday Jun 25, 2025

In this episode, Alexander Marciniak from the Latin America desk joins Ignacio to unpack the current political situation in Colombia, focusing on President Gustavo Petro's labor reform, the implications of a popular consultation and the potential for a constitutional assembly. It also addresses the ongoing violence in the country and the upcoming elections, highlighting key candidates and voter concerns.

If you enjoyed this episode, let us know by liking, subscribing or leaving a review! You can also contact us with any questions or feedback at info@sibylline.co.uk

For more information, visit our website: www.sibylline.co.uk

#WhatJustHappened #Geopolitics

Tuesday Jun 17, 2025

What Just Happened? Israel Strikes Iran

Tuesday Jun 17, 2025

In this episode, Ignacio Ayala is joined by Lead Americas Analyst Lewis Galvin and Principal Middle East and Africa Analyst Megan Sutcliffe to unpack the recent escalation of the Israel-Iran conflict, focusing on Israel's Operation Rising Lion, which involved high-intensity airstrikes targeting Iranian military and nuclear infrastructure. Megan and Lewis discuss the implications of these strikes, the potential for U.S. involvement and the likelihood of continued escalation in the region. The discussion highlights the strategic objectives of Israel, the responses from Iran and the geopolitical context surrounding the conflict.

If you enjoyed this episode, let us know by liking, subscribing or leaving a review! You can also contact us with any questions or feedback at info@sibylline.co.uk

For more information, visit our website: www.sibylline.co.uk

#WhatJustHappened #Geopolitics

Friday Jun 13, 2025

What Just Happened? The National Guard Deploys to L.A.

Friday Jun 13, 2025

In this episode, Ignacio Ayala is joined by Associate Americas Intelligence Analyst Azul Hidalgo Solá to discuss the recent protests in Los Angeles triggered by the Trump administration's immigration enforcement actions. They walk through the deployment of the National Guard, the legal implications surrounding the protests, the escalating tensions between state and federal authorities, the potential for further protests in other cities and the broader political ramifications of these confrontations.

If you enjoyed this episode, let us know by liking, subscribing or leaving a review! You can also contact us with any questions or feedback at info@sibylline.co.uk

For more information, visit our website: www.sibylline.co.uk

#WhatJustHappened #Geopolitics

Friday Jun 06, 2025

What Just Happened? An Unprecedented Ukrainian FPV Operation

Friday Jun 06, 2025

In this episode, Ignacio Ayala is joined by Karan Vassil to review the recent Ukrainian drone operation targeting Russian air bases, its implications for military capabilities and the potential impact on ongoing negotiations between Ukraine and Russia. The discussion highlights the unprecedented use of first-person view (FPV) drones, the operational planning behind the attack and the subsequent effects on Russian strategic assets and military strategy. Additionally, the conversation explores the likelihood of future negotiations and the current stance of both parties in the conflict.

If you enjoyed this episode, let us know by liking, subscribing or leaving a review! You can also contact us with any questions or feedback at info@sibylline.co.uk

For more information, visit our website: www.sibylline.co.uk

#WhatJustHappened #Geopolitics

Friday May 30, 2025

What Just Happened? Harvard spat, a Mega Bill and Trump's Shifting Middle East Policy

Friday May 30, 2025

Today, Ignacio Ayala is joined by Claire Brady for a different sort of episode. Together they discuss multiple significant political developments in the U.S., including the implications of a sweeping mega bill passed by the House, the Trump administration's conflict with Harvard University and shifts in U.S. foreign policy. The conversation highlights the potential socioeconomic impacts of the mega bill, the administration's stance on diversity initiatives in education and Trump's foreign policy shift in the Middle East

If you enjoyed this episode, let us know by liking, subscribing or leaving a review! You can also contact us with any questions or feedback at info@sibylline.co.uk

For more information, visit our website: www.sibylline.co.uk

#WhatJustHappened #Geopolitics

Friday May 23, 2025

What Just Happened? Updates on the Russia-Ukraine Negotiations

Friday May 23, 2025

In this episode, Ignacio Ayala is joined by Layla Guest to discuss the ongoing peace negotiations surrounding the Russia-Ukraine war. They focus on recent developments, the contrasting positions of Russia and Ukraine, and the differing approaches of the EU and the US. They also explore the potential future of these negotiations and the role of China in the conflict.

If you enjoyed this episode, let us know by liking, subscribing or leaving a review! You can also contact us with any questions or feedback at info@sibylline.co.uk

For more information, visit our website: www.sibylline.co.uk

#WhatJustHappened #Geopolitics

Friday May 09, 2025

What Just Happened? The IDF's New Strategy in Gaza

Friday May 09, 2025

In this episode, Ignacio Ayala is joined by Noam Ostfeld (Principal Analyst - Middle East & North Africa & Turkey) to discuss the recent Israeli military strategy in Gaza, focusing on the intensification of operations and the implications for both domestic politics and humanitarian conditions. They explore the so-called 'Rafah' model, which involves holding territories for longer periods, and the potential impact on ceasefire negotiations with Hamas. The discussion highlights the contentious nature of the political landscape in Israel and the humanitarian crisis unfolding in Gaza as a result of these military actions.

If you enjoyed this episode, let us know by liking, subscribing or leaving a review! You can also contact us with any questions or feedback at info@sibylline.co.uk

For more information, visit our website: www.sibylline.co.uk

#WhatJustHappened #Geopolitics