Sibylline: What Just Happened?

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What Just Happened is a short-format, informal podcast brought to you by the intelligence analysts at Sibylline LTD, a strategic risk firm based in London. Hosted by Ignacio Ayala, this podcast features brief conversations between the host and his fellow analysts, updating you on major geopolitical events as soon as they happen.

Episodes

Friday Dec 05, 2025

What Just Happened? Escalating Tensions in Tigray

Friday Dec 05, 2025

In this episode, Ignacio is joined by Megan Sutcliffe, Principal Analyst for the Middle East and Africa. Together, they delve into the recent altercation in Tigray between the Tigray Defence Forces and the Tigray Interim Administration. They discuss the strategic interests of the involved parties, the implications of the Pretoria Agreement, and the complex international dynamics at play. Megan provides insight into the historical context of the conflict, the challenges of the peace process, and the potential for future escalation.

If you enjoyed this episode, let us know by liking, subscribing, or leaving a review! You can also contact us with any questions or feedback at info@sibylline.co.uk.

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For more information, visit our website: www.sibylline.co.uk

#Tigray #Ethiopia #Conflict #PeaceProcess

Thursday Nov 27, 2025

What Just Happened? The Latest on the Ukraine Peace Negotiations

Thursday Nov 27, 2025

In this episode, Ignacio is joined by Layla Guest, an intelligence analyst for Eurasia here at Sibylline. Together, they look into the recent peace process negotiations between the US, Ukraine, and Russia, focusing on the 28-point peace plan and its revisions. They discuss the strategic interests of the involved parties, the proposed territorial concessions, and the international reactions. Layla provides insights into the historical context of the negotiations, the implications of the proposed changes, and the complex international dynamics at play.

If you enjoyed this episode, let us know by liking, subscribing, or leaving a review! You can also contact us with any questions or feedback at info@sibylline.co.uk.

#US #Ukraine #Russia #PeaceProcess

Thursday Nov 06, 2025

What Just Happened? Escalating Violence in Darfur

Thursday Nov 06, 2025

In this episode, Ignacio is joined by Megan Sutcliffe, Principal Analyst for the Middle East and Africa. Together, they delve into the ongoing conflict in Sudan, focusing on the recent developments in the Darfur region. They discuss the strategic manoeuvres of the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF), highlighting the humanitarian crisis and international reactions. Megan provides insights into the historical context of the conflict, the implications of recent territorial changes, and the complex international dynamics at play.

If you enjoyed this episode, let us know by liking, subscribing, or leaving a review! You can also contact us with any questions or feedback at info@sibylline.co.uk.

#Sudan #Conflict #Darfur #HumanitarianCrisis

Thursday Oct 30, 2025

What Just Happened? Upset in Argentina's Midterm Elections

Thursday Oct 30, 2025

In this episode, Ignacio is joined by Alex Marciniak, Intelligence Analyst for Latin America and the Caribbean at Sibylline. Together, they discuss the unexpected results of the Argentinian midterm elections, exploring the significant win for President Javier Milei and his La Libertad Avanza (LLA) party, which outperformed pre-election polling. Alex provides insights into the implications of this victory for Millet's ability to govern, the potential policy changes and the strategic dynamics within the Argentine Congress. The discussion highlights the complex interplay of political manoeuvres, economic reforms and international influences, particularly the role of the US credit swap line.

If you enjoyed this episode, let us know by liking, subscribing, or leaving a review! You can also contact us with any questions or feedback at info@sibylline.co.uk.

#Argentina #Elections #Politics #LatinAmerica

Wednesday Oct 15, 2025

What Just Happened? Afghanistan & Pakistan Border Clashes

Wednesday Oct 15, 2025

In this episode, Shiza Abbasi, Principal Analyst for South Asia at Sibylline, joins Ignacio Ayala to discuss the recent armed confrontations between Afghanistan and Pakistan. The conversation delves into the factors driving these tensions, including the role of the TTP and the strategic dynamics at play. Shiza provides insight into the potential for escalation and the implications for regional stability, highlighting the complex interplay of military actions, diplomatic efforts, and socio-economic dependencies.

If you enjoyed this episode, let us know by liking, subscribing, or leaving a review! You can also contact us with any questions or feedback at info@sibylline.co.uk.

#Afghanistan #Pakistan #Security #SouthAsia

Thursday Oct 09, 2025

What Just Happened? Gen Z Protests Hit Morocco

Thursday Oct 09, 2025

In this episode, Noam Ostfeld, Principal Analyst for the Middle East, North Africa and Turkey at Sibylline, joins Ignacio to discuss the recent surge in nationwide protests across Morocco and the resulting escalation in security risks. The conversation examines the factors driving the unrest, the government’s response, and the implications for businesses and individuals operating in affected areas. Noam provides insight into the growing threat of vandalism and looting in major cities, highlighting how these developments reflect broader socio-economic tensions and potential indicators of further instability in the region.

If you enjoyed this episode, let us know by liking, subscribing, or leaving a review! You can also contact us with any questions or feedback at info@sibylline.co.uk.

#Morocco #Protests #Security #MENA

Thursday Oct 02, 2025

What Just Happened? Drone Incursions in Europe

Thursday Oct 02, 2025

In this episode, Annabelle Walker, Associate Analyst for Europe at Sibylline, joins Ignacio to discuss the recent surge in drone incursions across Europe, with a particular focus on Russian activities in NATO airspace. The conversation explores the implications of these incursions, NATO's responses and potential future indicators of escalating tensions. Annabelle highlights the significance of these events in the context of hybrid warfare and the evolving security landscape in Europe.

If you enjoyed this episode, let us know by liking, subscribing, or leaving a review! You can also contact us with any questions or feedback at info@sibylline.co.uk.

#Europe #Drones #Security

Wednesday Sep 24, 2025

What Just Happened? US Strikes on Trafficking Vessels

Wednesday Sep 24, 2025

In this episode, Ignacio Ayala is joined by Latin America Intelligence Analyst Alex Marciniak to discuss the US naval deployment off Venezuela's coast. The deployment is aimed at combating drug trafficking and exerting geopolitical pressure on the Maduro regime and follows two strikes on suspected drug-trafficking vessels earlier in September. Together, they explore the roles of Venezuelan criminal organisations and regional reactions to the US deployment.

If you enjoyed this episode, let us know by liking, subscribing, or leaving a review! You can also contact us with any questions or feedback at info@sibylline.co.uk.

For more information, visit our website: www.sibylline.co.uk

#Venezuela #Trump #Geopolitics