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What Just Happened is a short-format, informal podcast brought to you by the intelligence analysts at Sibylline LTD, a strategic risk firm based in London. Hosted by Ignacio Ayala, this podcast features brief conversations between the host and his fellow analysts, updating you on major geopolitical events as soon as they happen.
Episodes

3 days ago
3 days ago
In this episode, Ignacio Ayala speaks with Middle East and Africa Analyst Megan Sutcliffe about the recent IDF airstrike on Beirut, its implications for the ceasefire with Hezbollah and the potential perpetrators behind recent rocket attacks. They explore the recent historical context of the ceasefire, the dynamics of the current situation and the likely future developments in the region.
If you enjoyed this episode, let us know by liking, subscribing or leaving a review! You can also contact us with any questions or feedback: info@sibylline.co.uk
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#Israel #Lebanon #RefinedInsight #WhatJustHappened

6 days ago
6 days ago
In this episode, Ignacio Ayala is joined by Associate North America Analyst Azul Hidalgo Solá to discuss the recent political developments in Canada. Azul focuses on Mark Carney's decision to call for a snap election and the implications for the Liberal Party and its competition. The discussion highlights the shifting political landscape, the impact of tariffs, and the leading candidates' contrasting policies.
If you enjoyed the episode, please give us a like and subscribe for new episodes! You can also contact us with any questions or feedback: info@sibylline.co.uk
Follow us on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/sibyllineltd/?hl=en
Follow us on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/sibylline-ltd/
Follow us on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@sibyllineTV
Please email us with any questions: info@sibylline.co.uk
Music: Stock Media provided by @Boscorelli / Pond5

Friday Mar 21, 2025
What Just Happened? The Arrest of Ekrem İmamoğlu
Friday Mar 21, 2025
Friday Mar 21, 2025
In this episode, Ignacio Ayala speaks with Middle East and Africa Analyst Megan Sutcliffe about the recent detention of Turkish opposition leader Ekrem İmamoğlu, the subsequent protests in Turkey, and the international response to these events. It highlights the political climate in Turkey under President Erdogan, the implications of İmamoğlu's arrest, and the reactions from civil society and foreign governments.
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Please email us with any questions: info@sibylline.co.uk

Thursday Feb 27, 2025
What Just Happened? IDF Tanks in the West Bank
Thursday Feb 27, 2025
Thursday Feb 27, 2025
In this episode, Ignacio Ayala speaks with Principal Middle East Analyst Noam Ostfeld about the recent deployment of Israeli tanks in the occupied West Bank—the first such deployment in over 20 years—as part of an intensified military operation.
If you enjoyed the episode, please leave a review and subscribe! Follow us for new episodes and more geopolitical content:
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Please email us with any questions: info@sibylline.co.uk
#Israel #Palestine #IDF #WestBank

Friday Jan 31, 2025
What Just Happened? Violence in Catatumbo, Colombia
Friday Jan 31, 2025
Friday Jan 31, 2025
In this episode, Ignacio Ayala speaks with Latin America Intelligence Analyst Alex Marciniak about the escalating conflict in Colombia’s Catatumbo region (Norte de Santander department). Alex explains the significance of Catatumbo as a major coca-producing region and a hotspot for drug smuggling across the Venezuela-Colombia border. He also describes how the National Liberation Army (ELN) has intensified attacks against rival guerrilla factions, local leaders and demobilised guerrillas, displacing 47,000 people and prompting the Colombian government to declare a state of emergency and deploy additional military forces.
Please note this episode was recorded on 28 January 2025.
If you enjoyed the episode, please leave a review and subscribe! Follow us for new episodes and more geopolitical content:
Follow us on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/sibyllineltd/?hl=en
Follow us on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/sibylline-ltd/
Follow us on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@sibyllineTV
Please email us with any questions: info@sibylline.co.uk
#ELN #Colombia #WhatJustHappened

Tuesday Jan 28, 2025
What Just Happened? M23 Rebels Enter Goma
Tuesday Jan 28, 2025
Tuesday Jan 28, 2025
In this episode, Samuel McVicar is joined by Lead Middle East and Africa Analyst Ben Manzin to discuss the situation in Goma after fighting erupted between the M23 rebel group and the Congolese Armed Forces. Ben explains the situation in Goma, the actors involved, the impact the conflict will have on organisations operating in the area and the broader regional implications in the coming days and weeks.
Please note this episode was recorded on 27 January 2025.
If you enjoyed the episode, please leave a review and subscribe!
Follow us on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/sibyllineltd/?hl=en
Follow us on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/sibylline-ltd/
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Please email us with any questions: info@sibylline.co.uk
#DRC #Rwanda #Goma

Wednesday Jan 22, 2025
What Just Happened? The Israel-Hamas Ceasefire
Wednesday Jan 22, 2025
Wednesday Jan 22, 2025
In this episode, Ignacio Ayala is joined by Sibylline's Middle East and Africa Analyst, Megan Sutcliffe, to explain the recent ceasefire deal between Israel and Hamas. Megan explains what is contained in the agreement, the process of reaching the agreement and how it may impact regional tensions.
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Follow us on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/sibyllineltd/?hl=en
Follow us on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/sibylline-ltd/
Follow us on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@sibyllineTV
For more information visit our website: www.sibylline.co.uk
E-mail us at: info@sibylline.co.uk

Wednesday Jan 08, 2025
What Just Happened? Canadian Prime Minister Resigns
Wednesday Jan 08, 2025
Wednesday Jan 08, 2025
In this episode, Ignacio Ayala is joined by Principal North America Intelligence Analyst Claire Brady to discuss Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's resignation as leader of the Liberal Party and prime minister. Trudeau's decision follows mounting party pressure due to declining popularity, internal criticism, and fears of losing to the Conservatives in the next federal election. Claire lays out the causes for this announcement and the next steps for a new Canadian government.
Please note that we’re offering free trials of our industry-leading World Risk Register service until January 2025! For more information, contact our Relationship team at info@sibylline.co.uk
Follow us on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/sibyllineltd/?hl=en
Follow us on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/sibylline-ltd/
Follow us on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@sibyllineTV
#WhatJustHappened #RefinedInsight